Because we usually feel that everything is going to go according to plan, we don’t pay nearly enough attention to potential problems and fail to account for them in our plans. This problem stems from a dangerous judgment error called planning fallacy.
Avoiding Disastrous Decisions involves:
1) Deciding the decision criteria
2) Weighing importance of criteria
3) Grading your options using the criteria
4) Checking with your head and gut
5) Sticking to your choice
How can you make everyday decisions quickly? Answer 5 key questions: 1) What info do I need? 2) What cognitive biases might harm me? 3) What would a trusted adviser say? 4) How might this fail? 5) Why might I revise this decision? This episode of the “Wise Decision Maker Show” provides a videocast and podcast about these 5 key questions that you can use to ensure you make the best everyday decisions, in business and in life.
In order to make the best decisions, follow these decision-making process steps:
1) Identify need for decision
2) Get relevant info
3) Decide goals
4) Develop criteria
5) Generate a few viable options
6) Weigh options
7) Implement decision
8) Revise implementation and decision as needed
To improve new member retention, associations need to avoid dangerous judgment errors. An example is the overconfidence bias, which causes association leaders to be excessively confident about what new members want.
Get a free book sample at DisasterAvoidanceExperts.com/NeverGut. You can also get the book on links from that same website, or at a bookstore near you. I want you to take advantage of the strategies in this book to maximize your success and leave business disasters to your competition.
Consumers mostly make their shopping choices with their gut. As a result, they make many poor decisions. One of these decisions is to rely increasingly on online user reviews compared to recommendations from friends, even though user reviews are often misleading.
To make changes, the rewards must be a 2 or more or you might as well consider other potentials. On the negative side if the potential downsides are nearly a 4 or more then you may want to forget about taking such a risk.
To avoid decision disasters and defeat cognitive biases, develop the 12 critical skills that cognitive neuroscience and behavioral economics show are needed for mental fitness.
Effective strategic planning involves: 1) Identifying potential threats and opportunities; 2) Planning how to deal with them; 3) Reserving sufficient resources to address threats and opportunities; 4) Making your plans resilient and flexible.
Want to avoid the dangerous judgment errors that scholars in cognitive neuroscience and behavioral economics call cognitive biases in your work? This videocast and podcast will help you defeat all types of cognitive bias!
The choice that feels most comfortable to your gut is often the worst decision for your bottom line. To be a truly wise decision maker, you have to adopt counterintuitive, uncomfortable, but highly profitable techniques to avoid business disasters by making the best decisions.
How to make decisions quickly? Answer 5 key questions: 1) What key info do I need? 2) What cognitive biases might harm me? 3) What would a trusted adviser say? 4) How might this fail? 5) Why might I revise this decision?
8-step decision-making process: 1) Identify need for decision; 2) Get relevant info; 3) Decide goals; 4) Develop criteria; 5) Generate a few viable options; 6) Weigh options; 7) Implement decision; 8) Revise implementation and decision as needed.
Effective leadership decision making on tough decisions involves: 1) Deciding the criteria you’ll use to chose; 2) Ranking the importance of these criteria; 3) Grading your choices using the criteria; 4) Checking your grading with your head and gut; 5) Sticking to your top choice.
To address unconscious cognitive biases in your workplace, you need to evaluate thoroughly their impact on your own professional activities, as well as more broadly in your team and organization, and make and implement a plan to address the problem.
To prevent failure in implementing decisions, or in managing projects or processes, imagine that it completely failed. Then, brainstorm all plausible reasons for failure, and generate solutions to these potential problems. Integrate these solutions into your project or process.
To maximize project or process success, envision that it succeeded spectacularly. Brainstorm likely reasons for such success, and generate strategies that would lead to such success. Integrate these strategies into your project or process.
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Protect yourself from decision disasters by getting our free Wise Decision Maker Course, which includes 8 weekly video-based modules. As a bonus, you'll receive a free copy of our Assessment on Dangerous Judgment Errors in the Workplace when you sign up.